"Those who predicted that Russia would enter Kiev in two days, then two months, then two years, now defend that the fall of the city is the beginning of the end."
What is at stake in Pokrovsk?
Based on the interpretation and interpretation of facts, information and events.
“Those who predicted that Russia would invade Kiev in two days, then in two months, in two years will mark the beginning of the end by defending the fall of the city.”
A few weeks ago it was published in the journal Science showing that chimpanzees can change their minds when they receive new information.Behavior that brings them closer to humans ... or at least, researchers are treating them.
Are people really capable of questioning what we believe?Not as much as we would expect from a species that defines itself as rational.And no, I don't want to talk about politics - which is perhaps the area where we are most limited by our beliefs - but about the war in Ukraine, where no one seems to want to back down.Not on the battlefield, and even less on the slippery slope of opinion.
In the first months of the war, they heard that the number of dead and wounded among the forces of the preminlin, Zelenensky, placed in their chosen readers, should be much higher than Putin.What is your evidence?Besides the faith that moves the mountains, there is a fact: most of the former drew artillery and more lines than in Ukraine every day.Three years ago, all analysts, including PRO-Russian ones, drones up to 80 percent on both sides, and the opinions are still heard.
Something similar happens when evaluating what is happening these days in the city of Pokrovsk, which fell into Putin's hands.Those who predicted that Russia would enter Kiev in two days, then in two months and then in two years, now defend that the fall of the city - which before the war was an important road and rail junction - will be the beginning of the end of Ukraine.
Are they right?The truth is, if you ask them, they themselves admit that nothing major has been damaged in the past few months.Zelensky has to do without this omission and if we talk about the railway, the trains do not even reach Kerathold, Ukraine's strongest force in the Donbas.
If it is not Kyiv, is a valuable city to the Moscow army?Communication compensations are very important in the war of war because they are the basis for the development of law.
Pokrovsk will fall, and its fall with limited operational value will have morale repercussions in Ukraine and beyond, which Zelensky will have to work to mitigate.But the city has already played its part in a war in which the only strategy available to Kiev, clearly outnumbered, is to resist and give up space as slowly as possible in exchange for time.Time for what?Hoping that the blood of Russian soldiers and the sanctions imposed by the West will weaken the will of the attacker.
How long can Ukraine survive?How much time do you need?Putin risks his war.He will not be one to see the game as lost and let the will of his people waver.Ho Chi Minh, the leader of Vietnam's independence, had better cards than Zelensky because he was a dictator and faced democracy.In Ukraine, it is completely the opposite: it is not the aggressor who can demonstrate against the war, but the attacked society.And the time will come when that will happen.
In this situation, the examples of Vietnam, Afghanistan or Iraq are of little use.It is difficult to know which will last the longest.However, the Ukrainian military generally does a good job.Their base will fall, it is true, but the city won the Russians will resist the enemy attack for a long time.More (80,000 inhabitants in May 2023) compared to more (conquering June 2023 2022) and 400,000 inhabitants in May 2022.
However, I am not sure that the western answer is what is at stake.Ukraine Despite this fact, we ask for our support and force him to fight the Russian forces using the materials we have left and in addition to Drrs.I hope we don't have to repent.
